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Global South · Progressive

The Global South Holds Its Breath as Geopolitics Shifts

As the world fixates on battle lines in Ukraine, a familiar pattern of powerful nations dictating the global order leaves billions in the Global South with a sense of déjà vu.

blue and brown globe on persons hand
Photo: Greg Rosenke / Unsplash
By Kwame Osei · Progressive·Friday, October 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM·Edited by Vivienne Marchand

The headlines from Ukraine paint a vivid picture of a conflict where technology and geopolitics collide. We read about Operation Vivaldi, Starlink’s crucial role, and the strategic gains on the ground. There’s a certain grim fascination in watching the dynamics of modern warfare unfold, the push and pull of power, the shifting alliances. Yet, for those of us who spend our days listening to the whispers from Accra to Bogotá, from Jakarta to Kinshasa, these narratives, while important, often feel like echoes of a much older, more persistent story, one where the global stage is once again dominated by a select few, and the majority find themselves, as ever, on the periphery, watching.

The mention of “souring relations with President Trump” serves as a particularly sharp reminder of this precarious global architecture. Here we have a conflict, devastating in its immediate human cost, where its very trajectory can be swayed by the whims of a powerful leader in a faraway capital. It underscores a fundamental truth about our world: stability, peace, and even survival for many are often contingent not on their own efforts or sovereign choices, but on the shifting sands of political favor and strategic calculation in Washington, Moscow, Beijing, or Brussels.

For the nations of the Global South, this isn't merely an academic observation; it’s a lived reality. They know all too well the feeling of being a pawn in a larger game, whether through Cold War proxy battles, structural adjustment programs that crippled economies, or the continued extraction of their resources to fuel the industrial ambitions of others. The narrative of “us versus them” often simplifies a complex world into binary choices, demanding allegiance or risking isolation, while the unique needs and perspectives of billions are overlooked.

Consider the resources poured into this conflict – the advanced weaponry, the satellite technology, the economic sanctions. While the immediate justifications are clear and pressing, one cannot help but juxtapine this against the chronic underfunding of climate adaptation in vulnerable nations, the persistent burden of unpayable debt that stifles development, or the ongoing struggles to secure basic healthcare and education for populations that number in the hundreds of millions. The disparity in global priorities, laid bare by such moments, is not just disheartening; it's a moral failure.

The innovation celebrated in Ukraine, like Starlink’s battlefield utility, points to the incredible capacity of human ingenuity. But what if this ingenuity, and the vast resources that enable it, were consistently directed towards solving the systemic challenges that plague humanity – challenges like ensuring clean water for all, developing sustainable energy solutions for rapidly growing cities, or eradicating preventable diseases? The technological marvels that assist in warfare could, with a different set of priorities, be transformative tools for human flourishing across the globe.

When leaders in the Global North fret over the impact of a particular politician on their strategic alliances, many in the Global South are bracing for the fallout. Will commodity prices spike further? Will aid commitments be re-directed? Will the focus on their pressing issues — climate change, poverty, sovereign debt — recede even further into the background? These are not abstract concerns; they are the daily calculations that determine whether a family eats, whether a child goes to school, whether a nation can build a more resilient future.

The calls for a ‘rules-based international order’ ring hollow when those rules are perceived as selectively applied, or when the very nations advocating for them have historically bent them to their own advantage. What the Global South truly yearns for is not just an absence of war, but a genuine equity in the global system – a system where their voices carry equal weight, where their resources are not subject to external dictates, and where their development is not held hostage to geopolitical maneuvers.

As the BBC reports on offensives and diplomatic shifts, we must remember that the true measure of our global progress isn't just who wins a battle, but who gets to live a dignified life. Until the lives and perspectives of those outside the established power blocs are truly central to our global conversations, until the mechanisms of extraction and debt are dismantled, until every human being is genuinely seen as equally valuable, reports like these, however insightful, will continue to feel like dispatches from a world still struggling to shed its colonial and unequal past. The Global South is watching, not just the battles, but the patterns that persist, and the hope, however faint, for a truly equitable future.